Rents in England and Wales fall for first time since March

Residential rents across England and Wales have fallen on a monthly basis for the first time since March, despite fresh records in three regions, according to the latest index.

Average rents fell by 0.1% on a monthly basis, down from £804 in July to stand at an average of £803 in August, the data from the Your Move and Reeds Rains index shows.

However, on an annual basis rents are now 5.5% higher than in August 2014, representing a slowdown since July when annual rent rises stood at an all-time record of 6.8%.

‘August has witnessed a break in a series of blistering rent rises. Yet this mild correction comes on the back of a whole year of acceleration. Rents are rising rapidly on an annual basis, underpinned by an improving economic picture for many potential tenants and the peak lettings season is only just about to start this autumn,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Reeds Rains and Your Move.

‘There is also no major change to the fundamentals of supply and demand. This means that in the longer term, faster rent rises may become a semi-permanent feature of the British listing market. Alongside purchase prices, rents will continue to rise rapidly until something happens to address a drastic shortage of homes in the UK,’ he added.

A regional breakdown show that despite a slower picture across the board, three individual regions of England and Wales saw rents hit fresh records in August. In the West Midlands average rents of £586 per month represent the highest levels on record, while rents in the East Midlands have set their own record at £596.

As the third region to see record rents, the East of England has also overtaken London to see the fastest annual growth of 11.5%, ahead of 10.2% annual increases in the capital. This takes average rents in the East of England to £843 per month.

Meanwhile, while relegated to second place in terms of annual rent rises, London’s tenants still pay by far the most in absolute terms, with average rents of £1,278 in August. Annual rent rises in the West and East Midlands were also particularly strong, standing at 4.6% and 5.9% respectively.

At the other end of the spectrum, Welsh rents are 3.1% lower than a year ago and the only region to see an annual fall. This comes as Wales has also seen the most negative trend on a monthly basis, with rents in the principality dropping 4% since July.

In total five out of 10 regions have seen rents fall on a monthly basis. After Wales this is led by the South East, with rents 1.4% lower than in July, and the North East with a 1.1% monthly decrease. In London rents have seen a rapid reversal with a 0.3% fall following a 3.3% increase over the previous month.

Leading the field on a monthly basis, South Western rents rose 3.2% between July and August, while the East Midlands saw 2.1% monthly rental growth.

‘Every piece of evidence is pointing to a rapid take-off in the East of England. Rents and indeed purchase prices have been especially strong here for some time. And now the East is taking the lead from London in terms of annual rent rises, this underscores the scale of that momentum,’ said Gill.

‘Meanwhile, while both East and West Midlands appear to be sharing in this surge of demand, the North West and Wales seem to be shifting into a slightly lower gear,’ he added.

The index report also shows that gross yield on a typical rental listing in England and Wales, before taking into account factors such as void periods, stood at 5.1% in August 2015. This is steady compared to 5.1% in July and up marginally from 5.0% in August 2014.

As purchase price growth stabilised in August, total annual returns incorporating both capital accumulation and rental yields, have also stabilised. On average, landlords in England and Wales have seen returns of 9.3% over the 12 months ending August 2015, down from 13.4% in August 2014 but the same as 9.3% seen in the previous month of July.

This means that the average landlord in England and Wales has seen a return of £16,856 in absolute terms, before deductions such as maintenance and mortgage payments. Of this, the average capital gain contributed £8,323 while rental income made up £8,533 over the 12 months to August.

‘When purchase values cool, rental yields tend to assist in a soft landing for total returns, and this has been the case over the last six months or so. However, the picture in the purchase market is now an optimistic one, and may boost landlords’ prospects further this year,’ Gill explained.

‘With mortgage rates still likely to remain low for some time, the outlook for the listing market as a whole is positive and the opportunities for landlords to get involved are excellent,’ he added.

Rent arrears show continued setback with tenant arrears made up 9.9% of all rent payable in August 2015, up from 8.4% in July 2015 and 8% in August 2014. This compares to the all-time record for rent in arrears set in February 2010, at 14.6% of all rent due.

‘Rents are being bid up by the vast majority of tenants, many of whom are seeing their incomes rise substantially for the first time in many years. However, not every household shares the same bank account. Compared to rapidly growing demand there is a real shortage of available listings to let across the country,’ said Gill.

‘This means that inevitably, rising rents will not be good news for everyone. The long term trend in rental arrears is still positive, and we will be releasing new, separate figures on the most serious arrears very soon. However, there is a need for action. This involves more investment from landlords in listings to let and action from the government to allow the building of more new homes of all tenures,’ he concluded.

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Source: Property News Spain